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Most of Southern Interior leaning Conservative, according to recent survey

Most of the Southern Interior is on track to elect Conservative MPs in the upcoming federal election, according to a recent projection.

The 338Canada website predicts that every seat in the region is leaning blue except for South Okanagan-West Kootenay, where the NDP is the favourite by a tiny fraction.

As of Oct. 14, when the site was last updated, the Tories are predicted to have a 50.4% chance of winning the most seats in Canada and the Liberals a 49% chance.

In terms of winning a majority, the Liberals are ahead in projections with a 13.7% chance.

<who> Photo credit: 338Canada

The Conservatives have a just under 10% chance, according to the website.

For the popular vote, the two biggest parties are almost tied: the Liberals are given a 31.3% chance and the Tories 32.5%.

The 338Canada project is a statistical model of electoral projections based on polls, history and demography created by physics professor and political analyst PJ Fournier.

To see the full details of the website’s predictions, click here.



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